Household Indebtedness, House Prices and the Economy, September 19-20, 2008

September 19-20, 2008,
Sveriges Riksbank, Stockholm, Sweden

 

Sveriges Riksbank, the Swedish Central Bank, is pleased to announce that it will host a workshop on Household Indebtedness, House Prices and the Economy.

Aim:

In the last few decades, house prices have undergone major medium-run fluctuations in many industrialized economies. Boom-bust cycles in house prices, coupled with a substantial increase in household indebtedness, have drawn the attention of policymakers and academics towards the developments in housing markets and their impact on economic activity and financial stability.  In that context, the aim of this workshop is to discuss recent swings in house prices and the increasing indebtedness of households, and their impact on the economy. We are interested both in theoretical and empirical work addressing the following topics: (i) household finance and the determinants of household indebtedness, (ii) credit markets, institutional change, and household indebtedness, (iii) household indebtedness, housing markets, and their implications for economic activity and financial stability, (iv) the impact of household indebtedness and housing markets on monetary policy. To address the last topic, we also plan for a panel session with representatives from academia as well as policymakers. 

Format:

Papers will be presented in plenary presentations of 40 minutes, followed by 10 minutes of comments by a discussant and an additional 10 minute plenary discussion. Approximately 11 papers will be presented, and overall participation at the workshop will be limited to 40 people. Lunch and a workshop dinner will be provided. Participation in the conference is confirmed by Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull.


Expenses: 

Sveriges Riksbank will reimburse economy-class travel expenses and cover accommodation for paper presenters and discussants.

 

Paper submission:

A PDF file containing the paper should be e-mailed to the organizing committee, at lena.lofgren@riksbank.se by April 28th, 2008. Authors will be notified by June 16th, 2008. Authors submitting papers should also indicate whether they are willing to act as discussants.

 

Program 

Thursday, 18 September 2008
19:00-     
20:30      
                

Reception at Sveriges Riksbank                                  
                   

Day 1 - Friday, 19 September 2008

 

08:30-08:45  Registration/Coffee

08.45-
09:00

Welcoming remarks by Deputy Governor Lars Nyberg

 

 

Session I: Credit Markets, Institutional Change and Household Indebtedness
Chair: Tor Jacobson

09:00-
10:00

“A Quantitative Theory of Information and Unsecured Credit”

Paper  Presentation
Kartik Athreya, Xuam Tam and Eric Young
Discussant: Kosuke Aoki

Discussion 

10:00-
10:30
Coffee

10:30-
11:30

 “On the Importance of borrowing Constrains for House Price Dynamics”

Paper  Presentation
Essi Eerola and Niku Määttänen
Discussant: Kalin Nikolov

 Discussion

11:30- 12:30

“Credit Booms and Lending Standards: Evidence from the Subprime Mortgage Market” Paper  Presentation
Giovanni Dell’Ariccia, Deniz Igan and Luc Laeven
Discussant: Satyajit Chatterjee
Discussion

12:45-
13:45  

Lunch at Scandic Plaza Hotel

 

Session II: Household Finance and the Determinants of Household Indebtedness
Chair: Franklin Allen

14:00-
15:00
”Foreclosures and House Prices” Paper  Presentation
Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf
Discussant: Dirk Krueger Discussion
15:00-
15:30
Coffee
15:30-
16:30
”Household Indebtedness and the Macroeconomy: the Swedish Case”
Daria Finocchiaro and Virginia Queijo von Heideken
Discussant: María José Luengo-Prado Discussion
16:30-
17:30
”Aggregate shocks and the Volatility of House Prices”
Víctor Ríos-Rull and Virginia Sanchez-Marcos Paper Presentation
Discussant: Winfried Koeniger
Discussion
19:00 Dinner at Grand Hotel

 

Day 2 - Saturday, 20 September 2008

Chair: Anders Vredin (Sveriges Riksbank)

 

08:45-09:00
               

 Coffee

 


Session III: The Relationship between Household Indebtedness, Housing Markets
and Consumption

Chair: Virginia Queijo von Heideken
09:00-
10:00

”Household External Finance and Consumption”
Tim Besley, Neil Meads and Paolo Surico Paper Presentation
Discussant: Bjørn Vatne Discussion

 

10:00-
10:30

 Coffee

 

10:30-
11:30

”Housing and Non-housing Consumption over Time and over the Life-cycle: A Structural
Estimation” Paper Presentation
Wenli Li, Haiyong Liu and Rui Yao
Discussant: Alexander Michaelides Discussion

11:30-
12:30
”Changes in Housing Wealth and Consumption: Did the Linkage Increase in the 2000s?” Paper  Presentation
Mark Doms, Wendy Dunn and Daniel Vine
Discussant: Martin Flodén Discussion
12:30-
13:30

 Lunch at Sveriges Riksbank

 


Session IV: Household Indebtedness, Housing Markets and their Implication for
Economic Activity and Financial Stability
Chair: Karl Walentin
13:30-
14:30

 ”Winners and Losers in Housing Markets”
Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, Alexander Michaelides and Kalin Nikolov Paper  Presentation
Discussant: Makoto Nakajima Discussion

 

14:30-
15:30
“Banking Competition, housing Prices and Macroeconomic Stability” Paper  Presentation
Javier Andrés and Oscar Arce
Discussant: Caterina Mendicino Discussion
15:30-
16:00
Coffee
16:00-
17:00
Panel Discussion: The Impact of Household Indebtedness and Housing Markets on Monetary Policy and Financial Stability
Franklin Allen, Tim Besley, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, Víctor Ríos-Rull

Presentations: 40 min, Discussions: 10 min, Floor: 10 min

 

Organization:

The workshop program and other information about the conference will be posted on the Riksbank website (www.riksbank.com/workshop) as they become available. The organizing committee consists of Franklin Allen, Tor Jacobson, Daria Finocchiaro, Martin Johansson, Virginia Queijo von Heideken and Karl Walentin. Questions can be directed to lena.lofgren@riksbank.se.

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